PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Ceará 0–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 0–1.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.661.16
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino beat Ceará 1–0. Recorded in this match (Ceará – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 14–18, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.66–1.16, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Red Bull Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsCeará · Red Bull Bragantino16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCearáRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Shots17 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match14 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Ceará have recorded the higher season possession share.

55% ●PossessionCeará · Red Bull Bragantino46.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCearáRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Possession55%46.3%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsCeará 14 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsCeará 4 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.66 xG1.16 xGCeará 0.66 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 1.16 xG
  • Possession56%44%Ceará 56%, Red Bull Bragantino 44%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersCeará 5 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls20 foulsCeará 11 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Ceará favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Ceará3 matchesRed Bull Bragantino4 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/4▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/4▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals3/4▲ 1.42 xG/match
17 shots/matchShots3/416.5 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/44.75 shots/match
55% ●Possession3/446.3%
5.67 corners/matchCorners3/4● 6.75 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls3/415.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Apr 2022, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCearáRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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