PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Athletico 1–0 Ceará · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 1–0.

Shots
1516
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.661.09
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Ceará 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Ceará): shots 15–16, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.66–1.09, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Ceará have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.2%PossessionAthletico · Ceará● 56%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAthleticoCearáBaseline
Possession45.2%56%51.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots16 shotsAthletico 15 shots, Ceará 16 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsAthletico 9 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.66 xG1.09 xGAthletico 1.66 xG, Ceará 1.09 xG
  • Possession41%59%Athletico 41%, Ceará 59%
  • Corners4 corners9 cornersAthletico 4 corners, Ceará 9 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls8 foulsAthletico 19 fouls, Ceará 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico5 matchesCeará4 matches
0.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/4▲ 1 goal/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/41.75 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals5/4▲ 1.13 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots5/4▲ 16.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target5/4▲ 5 shots/match
45.2%Possession5/4● 56%
5.6 corners/matchCorners5/4● 6.5 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls5/412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 May 2022, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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