PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Flamengo 0–1 Botafogo · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 0–1.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
88
Expected goals
1.720.82
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Flamengo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Botafogo): shots 17–13, shots on target 8–8, expected goals 1.72–0.82, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Botafogo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · Botafogo13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoBotafogoBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against9.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Flamengo have a visible home split

weak

Flamengo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.7 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsFlamengo 17 shots, Botafogo 13 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots8 shotsFlamengo 8 shots, Botafogo 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.72 xG0.82 xGFlamengo 1.72 xG, Botafogo 0.82 xG
  • Possession52%48%Flamengo 52%, Botafogo 48%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersFlamengo 10 corners, Botafogo 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsFlamengo 13 fouls, Botafogo 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo5 matchesBotafogo5 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
0.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.35 xG/match
15.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/513.4 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/54.2 shots/match
55.2% ●Possession5/552.4%
7.2 corners/match ●Corners5/54.2 corners/match
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 May 2022, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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