PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Corinthians 1–0 Fortaleza · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 1–0.

Shots
615
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.620.89
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Fortaleza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Fortaleza): shots 6–15, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.62–0.89, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.5 shots/match ▲ShotsCorinthians · Fortaleza14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCorinthiansFortalezaBaseline
Shots10.5 shots/match14.7 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match11 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots15 shotsCorinthians 6 shots, Fortaleza 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsCorinthians 3 shots, Fortaleza 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG0.89 xGCorinthians 0.62 xG, Fortaleza 0.89 xG
  • Possession56%44%Corinthians 56%, Fortaleza 44%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersCorinthians 9 corners, Fortaleza 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsCorinthians 14 fouls, Fortaleza 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians4 matchesFortaleza3 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/30.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/31.33 goals/match
1.12 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/31.03 xG/match
10.5 shots/matchShots4/3▲ 14.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/3▲ 4.33 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession4/352.3%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners4/35.33 corners/match
17 fouls/matchFouls4/316.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 May 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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