PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Fortaleza 1–1 São Paulo · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza and São Paulo drew 1–1.

Shots
124
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.750.28
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza and São Paulo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – São Paulo): shots 12–4, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.75–0.28, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

São Paulo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

São Paulo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14 shots/match ▲ShotsFortaleza · São Paulo12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFortalezaSão PauloBaseline
Shots14 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against9.25 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

16.3 fouls/matchFoulsFortaleza · São Paulo16.6 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFortalezaSão PauloBaseline
Fouls16.3 fouls/match16.6 fouls/match14.6 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots4 shotsFortaleza 12 shots, São Paulo 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsFortaleza 3 shots, São Paulo 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG0.28 xGFortaleza 0.75 xG, São Paulo 0.28 xG
  • Possession54%46%Fortaleza 54%, São Paulo 46%
  • Corners9 corners4 cornersFortaleza 9 corners, São Paulo 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsFortaleza 16 fouls, São Paulo 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza4 matchesSão Paulo5 matches
0.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/5▲ 1.8 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/51.2 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals4/5▲ 1.12 xG/match
14 shots/match ▲Shots4/512.4 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target4/54.2 shots/match
52.8%Possession4/5● 54.2%
6.25 corners/match ●Corners4/54.6 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/516.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 9 May 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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