PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Botafogo 3–1 Fortaleza · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 3–1.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.271.33
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Fortaleza 3–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Fortaleza): shots 13–10, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.27–1.33, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza have a visible away split

weak

Fortaleza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match13.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsBotafogo 13 shots, Fortaleza 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsBotafogo 6 shots, Fortaleza 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG1.33 xGBotafogo 1.27 xG, Fortaleza 1.33 xG
  • Possession63%37%Botafogo 63%, Fortaleza 37%
  • Corners5 corners1 cornerBotafogo 5 corners, Fortaleza 1 corner
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsBotafogo 14 fouls, Fortaleza 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo6 matchesFortaleza5 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/50.6 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/51.6 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/51.03 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots6/513.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target6/53.8 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession6/549.6%
4.33 corners/matchCorners6/5● 5.2 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls6/516 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 May 2022, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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