PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

América Mineiro 1–1 Botafogo · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

América Mineiro and Botafogo drew 1–1.

Shots
128
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
0.880.61
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

América Mineiro and Botafogo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Botafogo): shots 12–8, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 0.88–0.61, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

América Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

América Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Botafogo have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.4%PossessionAmérica Mineiro · Botafogo● 54.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAmérica MineiroBotafogoBaseline
Possession44.4%54.7%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsAmérica Mineiro 12 shots, Botafogo 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsAmérica Mineiro 4 shots, Botafogo 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.88 xG0.61 xGAmérica Mineiro 0.88 xG, Botafogo 0.61 xG
  • Possession42%58%América Mineiro 42%, Botafogo 58%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersAmérica Mineiro 3 corners, Botafogo 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls9 foulsAmérica Mineiro 19 fouls, Botafogo 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro7 matchesBotafogo7 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.57 goals/match
1.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.14 goals/match
0.92 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.23 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots7/712.6 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.57 shots/match
44.4%Possession7/7● 54.7%
4.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 4.43 corners/match
18.3 fouls/matchFouls7/711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 May 2022, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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