PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Coritiba 1–0 Botafogo · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 1–0.

Shots
1518
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.541.16
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Botafogo): shots 15–18, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.54–1.16, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

weak

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Botafogo have recorded the higher season possession share.

47.6%PossessionCoritiba · Botafogo● 56.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaBotafogoBaseline
Possession47.6%56.9%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots18 shotsCoritiba 15 shots, Botafogo 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsCoritiba 5 shots, Botafogo 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.54 xG1.16 xGCoritiba 2.54 xG, Botafogo 1.16 xG
  • Possession28%72%Coritiba 28%, Botafogo 72%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersCoritiba 5 corners, Botafogo 9 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsCoritiba 10 fouls, Botafogo 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba8 matchesBotafogo8 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.38 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.78 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.23 xG/match
15.5 shots/match ▲Shots8/813.3 shots/match
6.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/84.38 shots/match
47.6%Possession8/8● 56.9%
6.13 corners/match ●Corners8/85 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls8/811.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 May 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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