PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Botafogo 1–0 São Paulo · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 1–0.

Shots
176
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.460.4
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat São Paulo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – São Paulo): shots 17–6, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.46–0.4, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.08 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo, São Paulo.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo · São Paulo4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogoSão PauloBaseline
Rest days2.88 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots6 shotsBotafogo 17 shots, São Paulo 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsBotafogo 3 shots, São Paulo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG0.4 xGBotafogo 1.46 xG, São Paulo 0.4 xG
  • Possession33%67%Botafogo 33%, São Paulo 67%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersBotafogo 3 corners, São Paulo 3 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsBotafogo 17 fouls, São Paulo 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo12 matchesSão Paulo12 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.32 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots12/1213.8 shots/match
4.42 shots/matchShots on target12/124.5 shots/match
54.4%Possession12/12● 55.1%
5.25 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.33 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1215.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 16 Jun 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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