PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Coritiba 0–1 Athletico · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 0–1.

Shots
2410
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
2.061.58
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Coritiba 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Athletico): shots 24–10, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 2.06–1.58, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletico's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Coritiba, Athletico.

3.88 days ▲Rest daysCoritiba · Athletico3.77 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCoritibaAthleticoBaseline
Rest days3.88 days3.77 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots10 shotsCoritiba 24 shots, Athletico 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsCoritiba 3 shots, Athletico 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.06 xG1.58 xGCoritiba 2.06 xG, Athletico 1.58 xG
  • Possession61%39%Coritiba 61%, Athletico 39%
  • Corners12 corners1 cornerCoritiba 12 corners, Athletico 1 corner
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsCoritiba 12 fouls, Athletico 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba13 matchesAthletico13 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131 goal/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 1 goal/match
1.52 xG/match ▲Expected goals13/131.19 xG/match
15.4 shots/match ▲Shots13/1312.2 shots/match
5.31 shots/match ▲Shots on target13/133.77 shots/match
48.2% ●Possession13/1342.6%
6 corners/match ●Corners13/135.46 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls13/1314.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Jun 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaAthletico
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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