PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Red Bull Bragantino 4–2 Coritiba · Serie A

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 4–2.

Shots
1816
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.761.16
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino beat Coritiba 4–2. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Coritiba): shots 18–16, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.76–1.16, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Red Bull Bragantino, Coritiba.

4 days ▲Rest daysRed Bull Bragantino · Coritiba3.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRed Bull BragantinoCoritibaBaseline
Rest days4 days3.04 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

weak

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.33 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.33 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots16 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 18 shots, Coritiba 16 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 7 shots, Coritiba 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.76 xG1.16 xGRed Bull Bragantino 1.76 xG, Coritiba 1.16 xG
  • Possession52%48%Red Bull Bragantino 52%, Coritiba 48%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 4 corners, Coritiba 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 13 fouls, Coritiba 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino12 matchesCoritiba12 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored12/121.33 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.5 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.47 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 5.5 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession12/1247.1%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.5 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1211 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 16 Jun 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoCoritiba
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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