Serie A · 2022

São Paulo 1–2 Palmeiras · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 1–2.

Shots
1223
Shots on target
37
Expected goals
1.231.66
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat São Paulo 2–1. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Palmeiras): shots 12–23, shots on target 3–7, expected goals 1.23–1.66, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

São Paulo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Paulo, Palmeiras.

4.17 days ▲Rest daysSão Paulo · Palmeiras4.08 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSão PauloPalmeirasBaseline
Rest days4.17 days4.08 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsSão Paulo · Palmeiras18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSão PauloPalmeirasBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots23 shotsSão Paulo 12 shots, Palmeiras 23 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots7 shotsSão Paulo 3 shots, Palmeiras 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG1.66 xGSão Paulo 1.23 xG, Palmeiras 1.66 xG
  • Possession39%61%São Paulo 39%, Palmeiras 61%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersSão Paulo 3 corners, Palmeiras 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls9 foulsSão Paulo 17 fouls, Palmeiras 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo13 matchesPalmeiras13 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored13/13▲ 1.92 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.62 goals/match
1.31 xG/matchExpected goals13/13▲ 1.84 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 18.2 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 5.92 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession13/1352.7%
6.08 corners/matchCorners13/13● 7.46 corners/match
15.6 fouls/matchFouls13/1312.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 21 Jun 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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