PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Corinthians 1–0 Flamengo · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 1–0.

Shots
712
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.830.57
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Flamengo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Flamengo): shots 7–12, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.83–0.57, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsCorinthians · Flamengo13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCorinthiansFlamengoBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots12 shotsCorinthians 7 shots, Flamengo 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsCorinthians 2 shots, Flamengo 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.83 xG0.57 xGCorinthians 0.83 xG, Flamengo 0.57 xG
  • Possession49%51%Corinthians 49%, Flamengo 51%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersCorinthians 6 corners, Flamengo 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsCorinthians 7 fouls, Flamengo 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians16 matchesFlamengo16 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored16/161.13 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/161.06 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.53 xG/match
10.1 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 4.69 shots/match
53.8%Possession16/16● 56.9%
4.63 corners/matchCorners16/16● 5.75 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls16/1614.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Jul 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansFlamengo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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