Serie A · 2022

Palmeiras 1–0 Cuiabá · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Cuiabá

LDLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 1–0.

Shots
166
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
1.490.24
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Cuiabá 1–0. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Cuiabá): shots 16–6, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 1.49–0.24, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.65 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.5 shots/match ▲ShotsPalmeiras · Cuiabá10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPalmeirasCuiabáBaseline
Shots18.5 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.5 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Palmeiras have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.6% ●PossessionPalmeiras · Cuiabá43.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPalmeirasCuiabáBaseline
Possession54.6%43.6%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots6 shotsPalmeiras 16 shots, Cuiabá 6 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotPalmeiras 8 shots, Cuiabá 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.49 xG0.24 xGPalmeiras 1.49 xG, Cuiabá 0.24 xG
  • Possession61%39%Palmeiras 61%, Cuiabá 39%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersPalmeiras 11 corners, Cuiabá 4 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls12 foulsPalmeiras 17 fouls, Cuiabá 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras17 matchesCuiabá17 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.76 goals/match
0.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.06 goals/match
1.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171 xG/match
18.5 shots/match ▲Shots17/1710.9 shots/match
5.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/172.82 shots/match
54.6% ●Possession17/1743.6%
7.53 corners/match ●Corners17/174.65 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls17/1713.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 19 Jul 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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