PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Coritiba 1–0 Cuiabá · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Cuiabá

LWWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 1–0.

Shots
48
Shots on target
20
Expected goals
0.40.25
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Cuiabá 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Cuiabá): shots 4–8, shots on target 2–0, expected goals 0.4–0.25, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.74 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.74 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cuiabá have a visible away split

moderate

Cuiabá's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match11 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots8 shotsCoritiba 4 shots, Cuiabá 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots0 shotsCoritiba 2 shots, Cuiabá 0 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG0.25 xGCoritiba 0.4 xG, Cuiabá 0.25 xG
  • Possession42%58%Coritiba 42%, Cuiabá 58%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersCoritiba 4 corners, Cuiabá 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsCoritiba 16 fouls, Cuiabá 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba19 matchesCuiabá19 matches
1.16 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/190.74 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.01 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots19/1911 shots/match
4.47 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/192.95 shots/match
46.3% ●Possession19/1943.7%
5.89 corners/match ●Corners19/194.58 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls19/1913 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 26 Jul 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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