PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Fortaleza 3–0 Internacional · Serie A

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 3–0.

Shots
168
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.840.7
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Internacional 3–0. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Internacional): shots 16–8, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.84–0.7, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.9 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortaleza have a visible home split

strong

Fortaleza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsFortaleza 16 shots, Internacional 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsFortaleza 7 shots, Internacional 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.84 xG0.7 xGFortaleza 1.84 xG, Internacional 0.7 xG
  • Possession33%67%Fortaleza 33%, Internacional 67%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersFortaleza 7 corners, Internacional 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsFortaleza 12 fouls, Internacional 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fortaleza
0Draws
1Internacional
Internacional — Fortaleza · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Internacional in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza21 matchesInternacional21 matches
0.9 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.43 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.1 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.49 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots21/2113.2 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target21/214.67 shots/match
48.1%Possession21/21● 49.4%
5.62 corners/match ●Corners21/215.24 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls21/2112.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 8 Aug 2022, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaInternacional
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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