PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Coritiba 1–2 Santos · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Santos

WLWDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 1–2.

Shots
1517
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.131.17
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Coritiba 2–1. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Santos): shots 15–17, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.13–1.17, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos have a visible away split

moderate

Santos's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots17 shotsCoritiba 15 shots, Santos 17 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsCoritiba 2 shots, Santos 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.17 xGCoritiba 1.13 xG, Santos 1.17 xG
  • Possession48%52%Coritiba 48%, Santos 52%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersCoritiba 6 corners, Santos 7 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls10 foulsCoritiba 23 fouls, Santos 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
0Draws
1Santos
Santos — Coritiba · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba21 matchesSantos21 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.9 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.48 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots21/2113.6 shots/match
4.29 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.71 shots/match
46.6% ●Possession21/2146.3%
5.95 corners/match ●Corners21/215.48 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls21/2113.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 Aug 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaSantos
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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