PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Palmeiras 1–1 Flamengo · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras and Flamengo drew 1–1.

Shots
2011
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.470.85
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras and Flamengo drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Flamengo): shots 20–11, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.47–0.85, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots11 shotsPalmeiras 20 shots, Flamengo 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsPalmeiras 3 shots, Flamengo 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.85 xGPalmeiras 1.47 xG, Flamengo 0.85 xG
  • Possession56%44%Palmeiras 56%, Flamengo 44%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersPalmeiras 10 corners, Flamengo 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsPalmeiras 11 fouls, Flamengo 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Palmeiras
1Draws
0Flamengo
Flamengo — Palmeiras · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 1 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras23 matchesFlamengo23 matches
1.65 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.65 goals/match
0.65 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/230.87 goals/match
1.81 xG/matchExpected goals23/231.76 xG/match
18 shots/match ▲Shots23/2315 shots/match
5.91 shots/matchShots on target23/235.65 shots/match
54%Possession23/23● 56.3%
7.39 corners/match ●Corners23/235.87 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2314 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Aug 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalmeirasFlamengo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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