PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Red Bull Bragantino 1–1 Ceará · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Ceará

WLLDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino and Ceará drew 1–1.

Shots
288
Shots on target
112
Expected goals
3.151.38
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino and Ceará drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Ceará): shots 28–8, shots on target 11–2, expected goals 3.15–1.38, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots8 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 28 shots, Ceará 8 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots2 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 11 shots, Ceará 2 shots
  • Expected goals3.15 xG1.38 xGRed Bull Bragantino 3.15 xG, Ceará 1.38 xG
  • Possession58%42%Red Bull Bragantino 58%, Ceará 42%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 10 corners, Ceará 2 corners
  • Fouls23 fouls16 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 23 fouls, Ceará 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Red Bull Bragantino
0Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino23 matchesCeará23 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231 goal/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.25 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots23/2314.2 shots/match
5.04 shots/matchShots on target23/234.83 shots/match
50.6%Possession23/23● 51.5%
6.39 corners/match ●Corners23/235.17 corners/match
14.4 fouls/matchFouls23/2314.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 22 Aug 2022, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRed Bull BragantinoCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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