PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Athletico 1–0 Coritiba · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 1–0.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
0.650.55
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Coritiba 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Coritiba): shots 15–15, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 0.65–0.55, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shotsAthletico 15 shots, Coritiba 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsAthletico 7 shots, Coritiba 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.65 xG0.55 xGAthletico 0.65 xG, Coritiba 0.55 xG
  • Possession53%47%Athletico 53%, Coritiba 47%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersAthletico 10 corners, Coritiba 4 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls11 foulsAthletico 21 fouls, Coritiba 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Athletico
0Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Athletico · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico32 matchesCoritiba31 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/311 goal/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/311.58 goals/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/311.15 xG/match
13.1 shots/matchShots32/3113.6 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/313.84 shots/match
44.3%Possession32/31● 45%
5.5 corners/matchCorners32/31● 5.71 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls32/3112.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 17 Oct 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoCoritiba
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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