PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Atlético Goianiense 1–0 Ceará · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Ceará

LLDDD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense won 1–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
0.510.99
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense beat Ceará 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Ceará): shots 12–12, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 0.51–0.99, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Goianiense have a visible home split

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsAtlético Goianiense 12 shots, Ceará 12 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsAtlético Goianiense 5 shots, Ceará 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.51 xG0.99 xGAtlético Goianiense 0.51 xG, Ceará 0.99 xG
  • Possession40%60%Atlético Goianiense 40%, Ceará 60%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersAtlético Goianiense 4 corners, Ceará 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls13 foulsAtlético Goianiense 20 fouls, Ceará 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Goianiense
1Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense33 matchesCeará33 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored33/330.88 goals/match
1.48 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.03 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals33/331.15 xG/match
13.6 shots/matchShots33/3313.6 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.3 shots/match
50.8%Possession33/33● 51.8%
5.42 corners/match ●Corners33/335.18 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls33/3314.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Oct 2022, 01:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético GoianienseCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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