PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Internacional 2–1 Ceará · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Ceará

LDDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Internacional won 2–1.

Shots
2113
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.351.53
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional beat Ceará 2–1. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Ceará): shots 21–13, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.35–1.53, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Internacional, Ceará.

3.16 days ▲Rest daysInternacional · Ceará3.16 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricInternacionalCearáBaseline
Rest days3.16 days3.16 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots13 shotsInternacional 21 shots, Ceará 13 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsInternacional 6 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.35 xG1.53 xGInternacional 2.35 xG, Ceará 1.53 xG
  • Possession62%38%Internacional 62%, Ceará 38%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersInternacional 5 corners, Ceará 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsInternacional 8 fouls, Ceará 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Internacional
1Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — Internacional · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional34 matchesCeará34 matches
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/340.88 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.06 goals/match
1.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals34/341.16 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots34/3413.6 shots/match
4.97 shots/match ▲Shots on target34/344.26 shots/match
50.4%Possession34/34● 51.4%
5.18 corners/matchCorners34/345.18 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls34/3414.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Oct 2022, 04:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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