PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Corinthians 1–0 Ceará · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Ceará

DDLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 1–0.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
2.460.36
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Ceará 1–0. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Ceará): shots 15–12, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 2.46–0.36, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Corinthians, Ceará.

2.96 days ▲Rest daysCorinthians · Ceará5.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCorinthiansCearáBaseline
Rest days2.96 days5.02 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsCorinthians 15 shots, Ceará 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsCorinthians 2 shots, Ceará 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.46 xG0.36 xGCorinthians 2.46 xG, Ceará 0.36 xG
  • Possession63%37%Corinthians 63%, Ceará 37%
  • Corners9 corners11 cornersCorinthians 9 corners, Ceará 11 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsCorinthians 10 fouls, Ceará 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Corinthians
0Draws
1Ceará
Ceará — Corinthians · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians36 matchesCeará36 matches
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/360.83 goals/match
0.92 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.06 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals36/361.12 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots36/36▲ 13.5 shots/match
3.92 shots/matchShots on target36/36▲ 4.22 shots/match
55.1% ●Possession36/3650.4%
4.86 corners/matchCorners36/36● 5.31 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls36/3614.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Nov 2022, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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