PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Avaí 2–0 Ceará · Serie A

Avaí

LLLLD
2–0Historical match

Ceará

DLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí won 2–0.

Shots
1415
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.091.8
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí beat Ceará 2–0. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Ceará): shots 14–15, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.09–1.8, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.81 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Avaí, Ceará.

4.1 days ▲Rest daysAvaí · Ceará3.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAvaíCearáBaseline
Rest days4.1 days3.94 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots15 shotsAvaí 14 shots, Ceará 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsAvaí 3 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG1.8 xGAvaí 1.09 xG, Ceará 1.8 xG
  • Possession41%59%Avaí 41%, Ceará 59%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersAvaí 6 corners, Ceará 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls21 foulsAvaí 17 fouls, Ceará 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Avaí
0Draws
1Ceará
Ceará — Avaí · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí37 matchesCeará37 matches
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/370.81 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed37/37▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals37/371.14 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.27 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 4.19 shots/match
50.7% ●Possession37/3750.6%
4.51 corners/matchCorners37/37● 5.32 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls37/3714.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 10 Nov 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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