PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Atlético Mineiro 2–1 Athletico · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 2–1.

Shots
168
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.040.58
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro beat Athletico 2–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Athletico): shots 16–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.04–0.58, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Athletico's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Mineiro · Athletico9.67 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroAthleticoBaseline
Shots19 shots/match9.67 shots/match15.2 shots/match
Shots against9 shots/match15.3 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Atlético Mineiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

65.3% ●PossessionAtlético Mineiro · Athletico41%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 24.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroAthleticoBaseline
Possession65.3%41%52.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots8 shotsAtlético Mineiro 16 shots, Athletico 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAtlético Mineiro 6 shots, Athletico 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.04 xG0.58 xGAtlético Mineiro 2.04 xG, Athletico 0.58 xG
  • Possession59%41%Atlético Mineiro 59%, Athletico 41%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersAtlético Mineiro 1 corner, Athletico 5 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsAtlético Mineiro 18 fouls, Athletico 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
1Athletico
Atlético Mineiro — Athletico · Serie A2–3
Athletico — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro3 matchesAthletico3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/31 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/31.33 goals/match
1.64 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.67 xG/match
19 shots/match ▲Shots3/39.67 shots/match
7 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match
65.3% ●Possession3/341%
7 corners/match ●Corners3/34.67 corners/match
18 fouls/matchFouls3/316.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 30 Apr 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MineiroAthletico
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAtlético Mineiro — Athletico
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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