PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Athletico 1–0 Corinthians · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 1–0.

Shots
2412
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
2.770.94
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Corinthians 1–0. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Corinthians): shots 24–12, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 2.77–0.94, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletico, Corinthians.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysAthletico · Corinthians2.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAthleticoCorinthiansBaseline
Rest days2.88 days2.83 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Athletico have a visible home split

moderate

Athletico's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match14.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots12 shotsAthletico 24 shots, Corinthians 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsAthletico 6 shots, Corinthians 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.77 xG0.94 xGAthletico 2.77 xG, Corinthians 0.94 xG
  • Possession35%65%Athletico 35%, Corinthians 65%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersAthletico 5 corners, Corinthians 5 corners
  • Fouls25 fouls11 foulsAthletico 25 fouls, Corinthians 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Athletico
1Draws
1Corinthians
Corinthians — Athletico · Serie A2–1
Athletico — Corinthians · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico12 matchesCorinthians12 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/120.92 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/121.33 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.09 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots12/1212.8 shots/match
4.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/124.08 shots/match
46.8%Possession12/12● 48.1%
4.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 5.42 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls12/1213.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 24 Jun 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoCorinthians
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAthletico — Corinthians
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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