PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Fluminense 2–0 Internacional · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fluminense won 2–0.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
80
Expected goals
1.170.38
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense beat Internacional 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fluminense – Internacional): shots 14–10, shots on target 8–0, expected goals 1.17–0.38, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional's recent record differs from the season

weak

Internacional's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.7% ●PossessionFluminense · Internacional50.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFluminenseInternacionalBaseline
Possession58.7%50.4%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsFluminense 14 shots, Internacional 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots0 shotsFluminense 8 shots, Internacional 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.17 xG0.38 xGFluminense 1.17 xG, Internacional 0.38 xG
  • Possession55%45%Fluminense 55%, Internacional 45%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersFluminense 7 corners, Internacional 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls16 foulsFluminense 18 fouls, Internacional 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fluminense
0Draws
2Internacional
Internacional — Fluminense · Serie A3–0
Fluminense — Internacional · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Internacional in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense14 matchesInternacional14 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.93 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.14 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.05 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots14/1411.9 shots/match
5.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.64 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession14/1450.4%
5.64 corners/match ●Corners14/144.64 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Jul 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFluminenseInternacional
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headFluminense — Internacional
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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