PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Fortaleza 3–1 Coritiba · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 3–1.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.520.98
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Coritiba 3–1. Recorded in this match (Fortaleza – Coritiba): shots 12–10, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.52–0.98, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsFortaleza 12 shots, Coritiba 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsFortaleza 6 shots, Coritiba 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.52 xG0.98 xGFortaleza 2.52 xG, Coritiba 0.98 xG
  • Possession53%47%Fortaleza 53%, Coritiba 47%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersFortaleza 2 corners, Coritiba 3 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls22 foulsFortaleza 22 fouls, Coritiba 22 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Fortaleza
0Draws
1Coritiba
Coritiba — Fortaleza · Serie A0–3
Fortaleza — Coritiba · Serie A3–1
Coritiba — Fortaleza · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fortaleza favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fortaleza21 matchesCoritiba21 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211 goal/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed21/212 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/211.11 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots21/2112 shots/match
5.38 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.67 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession21/2143.5%
5.14 corners/match ●Corners21/214.9 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls21/2116.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 28 Aug 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFortalezaCoritiba
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headFortaleza — Coritiba
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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