PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Bahia 1–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

Bahia

DWLWL
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia and Vasco da Gama drew 1–1.

Shots
116
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
1.961.12
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia and Vasco da Gama drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Vasco da Gama): shots 11–6, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 1.96–1.12, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.05 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.05 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots6 shotsBahia 11 shots, Vasco da Gama 6 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotBahia 3 shots, Vasco da Gama 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.96 xG1.12 xGBahia 1.96 xG, Vasco da Gama 1.12 xG
  • Possession54%46%Bahia 54%, Vasco da Gama 46%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersBahia 6 corners, Vasco da Gama 0 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls17 foulsBahia 22 fouls, Vasco da Gama 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bahia
0Draws
0Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Bahia · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia22 matchesVasco da Gama21 matches
1.05 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/210.76 goals/match
1.32 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/211.48 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals22/211.27 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots22/2112.6 shots/match
4.32 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/213.48 shots/match
52% ●Possession22/2147.5%
6.23 corners/match ●Corners22/215.24 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls22/2116.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Sept 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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