PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cuiabá 2–2 América Mineiro · Serie A

Cuiabá

WLLLL
2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá and América Mineiro drew 2–2.

Shots
207
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
1.710.38
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá and América Mineiro drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – América Mineiro): shots 20–7, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 1.71–0.38, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots7 shotsCuiabá 20 shots, América Mineiro 7 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsCuiabá 8 shots, América Mineiro 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.71 xG0.38 xGCuiabá 1.71 xG, América Mineiro 0.38 xG
  • Possession63%37%Cuiabá 63%, América Mineiro 37%
  • Corners9 corners1 cornerCuiabá 9 corners, América Mineiro 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls18 foulsCuiabá 11 fouls, América Mineiro 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cuiabá
0Draws
1América Mineiro
América Mineiro — Cuiabá · Serie A1–2
Cuiabá — América Mineiro · Serie A2–1
América Mineiro — Cuiabá · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá23 matchesAmérica Mineiro22 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored23/22▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/222.14 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals23/22▲ 1.28 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots23/22▲ 13.9 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target23/22▲ 4.5 shots/match
44% ●Possession23/2241.9%
5.3 corners/match ●Corners23/224.41 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls23/2216.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headCuiabá — América Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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