PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Atlético Mineiro 1–0 Botafogo · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 1–0.

Shots
137
Shots on target
60
Expected goals
1.270.14
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Botafogo): shots 13–7, shots on target 6–0, expected goals 1.27–0.14, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo have a visible away split

moderate

Botafogo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots7 shotsAtlético Mineiro 13 shots, Botafogo 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots0 shotsAtlético Mineiro 6 shots, Botafogo 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG0.14 xGAtlético Mineiro 1.27 xG, Botafogo 0.14 xG
  • Possession41%59%Atlético Mineiro 41%, Botafogo 59%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersAtlético Mineiro 5 corners, Botafogo 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls12 foulsAtlético Mineiro 15 fouls, Botafogo 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
2Botafogo
Botafogo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A2–0
Atlético Mineiro — Botafogo · Serie A0–2
Botafogo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro23 matchesBotafogo23 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored23/23▲ 1.7 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 0.61 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals23/23▲ 1.38 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots23/2313.3 shots/match
4.96 shots/matchShots on target23/234.87 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession23/2346%
5.65 corners/match ●Corners23/234.7 corners/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls23/2313.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 Sept 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAtlético MineiroBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headAtlético Mineiro — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required