PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Bahia 1–0 Internacional · Serie A

Bahia

DWLLW
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 1–0.

Shots
1412
Shots on target
41
Expected goals
2.010.57
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Internacional 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Internacional): shots 14–12, shots on target 4–1, expected goals 2.01–0.57, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bahia have a visible home split

moderate

Bahia's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots12 shotsBahia 14 shots, Internacional 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotBahia 4 shots, Internacional 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.01 xG0.57 xGBahia 2.01 xG, Internacional 0.57 xG
  • Possession47%53%Bahia 47%, Internacional 53%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersBahia 5 corners, Internacional 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls13 foulsBahia 14 fouls, Internacional 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bahia
0Draws
1Internacional
Internacional — Bahia · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Internacional in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia27 matchesInternacional27 matches
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.85 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.04 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots27/2712.4 shots/match
4.7 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.74 shots/match
50.7%Possession27/27● 52.3%
5.78 corners/match ●Corners27/274.52 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 19 Oct 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaInternacional
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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