PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Vasco da Gama 1–2 Internacional · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Internacional won 1–2.

Shots
159
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.041.56
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional beat Vasco da Gama 2–1. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Internacional): shots 15–9, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.04–1.56, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Internacional's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsVasco da Gama 15 shots, Internacional 9 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsVasco da Gama 6 shots, Internacional 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.56 xGVasco da Gama 1.04 xG, Internacional 1.56 xG
  • Possession53%47%Vasco da Gama 53%, Internacional 47%
  • Corners7 corners1 cornerVasco da Gama 7 corners, Internacional 1 corner
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsVasco da Gama 17 fouls, Internacional 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vasco da Gama
0Draws
1Internacional
Internacional — Vasco da Gama · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Internacional in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama29 matchesInternacional29 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.1 goals/match
1.41 goals/matchGoals allowed29/29▲ 1.17 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.08 xG/match
13.1 shots/match ▲Shots29/2912.3 shots/match
4.14 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/293.9 shots/match
48.4%Possession29/29● 52.1%
5.76 corners/match ●Corners29/294.34 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls29/2913.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Oct 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaInternacional
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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