PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Santos 2–1 Coritiba · Serie A

Santos

WWWLL
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 2–1.

Shots
243
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
2.240.83
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Coritiba 2–1. Recorded in this match (Santos – Coritiba): shots 24–3, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.24–0.83, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santos's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos have a visible home split

moderate

Santos's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.1 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots3 shotsSantos 24 shots, Coritiba 3 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsSantos 6 shots, Coritiba 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.24 xG0.83 xGSantos 2.24 xG, Coritiba 0.83 xG
  • Possession63%37%Santos 63%, Coritiba 37%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersSantos 11 corners, Coritiba 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls21 foulsSantos 15 fouls, Coritiba 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Santos
1Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Santos · Serie A0–0
Coritiba — Santos · Serie A1–2
Santos — Coritiba · Serie A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos29 matchesCoritiba29 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/291.03 goals/match
1.83 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/292.1 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.04 xG/match
12.1 shots/match ▲Shots29/2911.4 shots/match
3.97 shots/matchShots on target29/29▲ 4.28 shots/match
44.5% ●Possession29/2943.9%
4.83 corners/match ●Corners29/294.45 corners/match
15.2 fouls/matchFouls29/2915.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 27 Oct 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSantosCoritiba
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headSantos — Coritiba
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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