PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cruzeiro 2–2 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama drew 2–2.

Shots
149
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.480.77
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro and Vasco da Gama drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Vasco da Gama): shots 14–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.48–0.77, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots9 shotsCruzeiro 14 shots, Vasco da Gama 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsCruzeiro 4 shots, Vasco da Gama 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG0.77 xGCruzeiro 1.48 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.77 xG
  • Possession50%50%Cruzeiro 50%, Vasco da Gama 50%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersCruzeiro 7 corners, Vasco da Gama 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsCruzeiro 12 fouls, Vasco da Gama 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cruzeiro
0Draws
0Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Cruzeiro · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro34 matchesVasco da Gama34 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.09 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.32 goals/match
1.21 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.28 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots34/3412.7 shots/match
4.18 shots/matchShots on target34/344.06 shots/match
51.6% ●Possession34/3448.6%
6.71 corners/match ●Corners34/345.47 corners/match
15.3 fouls/matchFouls34/3415 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 23 Nov 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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