Serie A · 2023

Corinthians 1–5 Bahia · Serie A

1–5Historical match

Bahia

LWLLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 1–5.

Shots
1413
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
0.912.86
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Corinthians 5–1. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Bahia): shots 14–13, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 0.91–2.86, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians have a visible home split

strong

Corinthians's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Bahia show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Bahia's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCorinthians · Bahia13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCorinthiansBahiaBaseline
Shots12.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against16.7 shots/match12.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots13 shotsCorinthians 14 shots, Bahia 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsCorinthians 4 shots, Bahia 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG2.86 xGCorinthians 0.91 xG, Bahia 2.86 xG
  • Possession65%35%Corinthians 65%, Bahia 35%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersCorinthians 3 corners, Bahia 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls14 foulsCorinthians 9 fouls, Bahia 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Corinthians
1Draws
0Bahia
Bahia — Corinthians · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians35 matchesBahia35 matches
1.14 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.37 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.31 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 13.8 shots/match
4.31 shots/matchShots on target35/354.49 shots/match
48.5%Possession35/35● 50.5%
4.37 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.51 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls35/3514.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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