Serie A · 2023

Botafogo 1–1 Santos · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Santos

DWDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo and Santos drew 1–1.

Shots
188
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.620.26
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo and Santos drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Santos): shots 18–8, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.62–0.26, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo · Santos13.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogoSantosBaseline
Rest days2.88 days13.9 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santos's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsBotafogo 18 shots, Santos 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsBotafogo 5 shots, Santos 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG0.26 xGBotafogo 1.62 xG, Santos 0.26 xG
  • Possession46%54%Botafogo 46%, Santos 54%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersBotafogo 4 corners, Santos 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsBotafogo 14 fouls, Santos 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo
1Draws
1Santos
Santos — Botafogo · Serie A2–2
Botafogo — Santos · Serie A3–0
Santos — Botafogo · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo35 matchesSantos35 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.09 goals/match
0.94 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.6 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.14 xG/match
13.5 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.8 shots/match
4.74 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.91 shots/match
47.6% ●Possession35/3544.5%
4.37 corners/matchCorners35/35● 4.71 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls35/3515 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Nov 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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