PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cruzeiro 2–0 Athletico · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 2–0.

Shots
2214
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
1.940.69
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Athletico 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Athletico): shots 22–14, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 1.94–0.69, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cruzeiro, Athletico.

3.12 days ▲Rest daysCruzeiro · Athletico3.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCruzeiroAthleticoBaseline
Rest days3.12 days3.12 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cruzeiro have a visible home split

moderate

Cruzeiro's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.2 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.2 shots/match12.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots14 shotsCruzeiro 22 shots, Athletico 14 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsCruzeiro 7 shots, Athletico 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.94 xG0.69 xGCruzeiro 1.94 xG, Athletico 0.69 xG
  • Possession49%51%Cruzeiro 49%, Athletico 51%
  • Corners7 corners12 cornersCruzeiro 7 corners, Athletico 12 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsCruzeiro 8 fouls, Athletico 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cruzeiro
2Draws
0Athletico
Cruzeiro — Athletico · Serie A1–1
Athletico — Cruzeiro · Serie A3–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 4 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro11 matchesAthletico12 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/121.25 goals/match
1.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/12▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.4 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 16.2 shots/match
4.45 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5.09 shots/match
48.5%Possession11/11● 49.8%
5.18 corners/matchCorners11/11● 6.64 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Jun 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroAthletico
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Athletico
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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