PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Grêmio 2–0 Vitória · Serie A

Grêmio

WDLLL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Grêmio won 2–0.

Shots
135
Shots on target
60
Expected goals
1.360.16
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Grêmio beat Vitória 2–0. Recorded in this match (Grêmio – Vitória): shots 13–5, shots on target 6–0, expected goals 1.36–0.16, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Grêmio, Vitória.

3.62 days ▲Rest daysGrêmio · Vitória3.56 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGrêmioVitóriaBaseline
Rest days3.62 days3.56 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Grêmio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Grêmio's last-five shots average is above their season average.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots5 shotsGrêmio 13 shots, Vitória 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots0 shotsGrêmio 6 shots, Vitória 0 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.16 xGGrêmio 1.36 xG, Vitória 0.16 xG
  • Possession59%41%Grêmio 59%, Vitória 41%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersGrêmio 7 corners, Vitória 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls20 foulsGrêmio 11 fouls, Vitória 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Grêmio favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Grêmio16 matchesVitória18 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored16/18▲ 1.06 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed16/181.67 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals16/181.04 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots16/1811.6 shots/match
4.13 shots/matchShots on target16/184.17 shots/match
49.3% ●Possession16/1843.8%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners16/184.28 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls16/1811.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Jul 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGrêmioVitória
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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