Serie A · 2024

Atlético Mineiro 2–0 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 2–0.

Shots
158
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
2.220.61
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro beat Vasco da Gama 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Vasco da Gama): shots 15–8, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 2.22–0.61, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Mineiro, Vasco da Gama.

4.88 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Mineiro · Vasco da Gama3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético MineiroVasco da GamaBaseline
Rest days4.88 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Atlético Mineiro show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Atlético Mineiro's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Mineiro · Vasco da Gama12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroVasco da GamaBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match13 shots/match
Shots against11.8 shots/match15.7 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots8 shotsAtlético Mineiro 15 shots, Vasco da Gama 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotAtlético Mineiro 3 shots, Vasco da Gama 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.22 xG0.61 xGAtlético Mineiro 2.22 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.61 xG
  • Possession54%46%Atlético Mineiro 54%, Vasco da Gama 46%
  • Corners6 corners1 cornerAtlético Mineiro 6 corners, Vasco da Gama 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls6 foulsAtlético Mineiro 13 fouls, Vasco da Gama 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
2Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–0
Atlético Mineiro — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro17 matchesVasco da Gama18 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/181.11 goals/match
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/181.56 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/181.04 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/1812.3 shots/match
4.76 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/183.94 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession17/1846.8%
5.41 corners/match ●Corners17/184.06 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1814 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Jul 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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