PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Corinthians 2–2 Grêmio · Serie A

2–2Historical match

Grêmio

DLLLW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians and Grêmio drew 2–2.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.620.95
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians and Grêmio drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Grêmio): shots 14–18, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.62–0.95, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Grêmio's recent record differs from the season

weak

Grêmio's last-five shots average is above their season average.

14.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots14.2 shots/match11.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsCorinthians 14 shots, Grêmio 18 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsCorinthians 7 shots, Grêmio 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG0.95 xGCorinthians 1.62 xG, Grêmio 0.95 xG
  • Possession64%36%Corinthians 64%, Grêmio 36%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersCorinthians 4 corners, Grêmio 5 corners
  • Fouls21 fouls17 foulsCorinthians 21 fouls, Grêmio 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Corinthians
1Draws
0Grêmio
Grêmio — Corinthians · Serie A0–1
Corinthians — Grêmio · Serie A4–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians19 matchesGrêmio17 matches
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/170.82 goals/match
1.32 goals/matchGoals allowed19/171.29 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals19/170.98 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots19/1711.9 shots/match
4.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/174.29 shots/match
49.6% ●Possession19/1748.5%
5.74 corners/match ●Corners19/175.47 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls19/1711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 26 Jul 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCorinthiansGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headCorinthians — Grêmio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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