Serie A · 2024

Atlético Goianiense 1–1 Bahia · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Bahia

WLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense and Bahia drew 1–1.

Shots
157
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.070.85
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense and Bahia drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Bahia): shots 15–7, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.07–0.85, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.47 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.47 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Goianiense, Bahia.

3.12 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Goianiense · Bahia3.23 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético GoianienseBahiaBaseline
Rest days3.12 days3.23 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bahia have recorded the higher season possession share.

45.1%PossessionAtlético Goianiense · Bahia● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAtlético GoianienseBahiaBaseline
Possession45.1%56.3%49.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots7 shotsAtlético Goianiense 15 shots, Bahia 7 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsAtlético Goianiense 4 shots, Bahia 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG0.85 xGAtlético Goianiense 1.07 xG, Bahia 0.85 xG
  • Possession29%71%Atlético Goianiense 29%, Bahia 71%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersAtlético Goianiense 8 corners, Bahia 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsAtlético Goianiense 18 fouls, Bahia 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 7 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense19 matchesBahia19 matches
0.84 goals/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.47 goals/match
1.53 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.12 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.4 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots19/1913.2 shots/match
4.47 shots/matchShots on target19/194.68 shots/match
45.1%Possession19/19● 56.3%
4.84 corners/match ●Corners19/194.53 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1911 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 25 Jul 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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