PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 1–0 Cuiabá · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Cuiabá

LDWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 1–0.

Shots
179
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.870.79
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Cuiabá 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Cuiabá): shots 17–9, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.87–0.79, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vitória.

6.88 days ▲Rest daysVitória · Cuiabá5.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVitóriaCuiabáBaseline
Rest days6.88 days5.88 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsVitória 17 shots, Cuiabá 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsVitória 3 shots, Cuiabá 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.87 xG0.79 xGVitória 1.87 xG, Cuiabá 0.79 xG
  • Possession47%53%Vitória 47%, Cuiabá 53%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersVitória 4 corners, Cuiabá 5 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls17 foulsVitória 16 fouls, Cuiabá 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
1Draws
0Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Vitória · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória21 matchesCuiabá19 matches
1.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/191 goal/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed21/19▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals21/191.04 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots21/1911.3 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/193.68 shots/match
43.2% ●Possession21/1943%
4.14 corners/match ●Corners21/194.05 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls21/1911.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Aug 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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