PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 2–2 Cruzeiro · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória and Cruzeiro drew 2–2.

Shots
1425
Shots on target
512
Expected goals
1.411.23
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória and Cruzeiro drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Cruzeiro): shots 14–25, shots on target 5–12, expected goals 1.41–1.23, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Cruzeiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

42.6%PossessionVitória · Cruzeiro● 51.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVitóriaCruzeiroBaseline
Possession42.6%51.5%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots25 shotsVitória 14 shots, Cruzeiro 25 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots12 shotsVitória 5 shots, Cruzeiro 12 shots
  • Expected goals1.41 xG1.23 xGVitória 1.41 xG, Cruzeiro 1.23 xG
  • Possession30%70%Vitória 30%, Cruzeiro 70%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersVitória 4 corners, Cruzeiro 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls13 foulsVitória 10 fouls, Cruzeiro 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
0Draws
1Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Vitória · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 9 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória23 matchesCruzeiro22 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored23/22▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed23/22▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals23/221.04 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots23/22▲ 13 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target23/22▲ 4.86 shots/match
42.6%Possession23/22● 51.5%
4.26 corners/matchCorners23/22● 5.14 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2213.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 20 Aug 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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