PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Criciúma 0–1 Grêmio · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Grêmio

DWWWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Grêmio won 0–1.

Shots
1914
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.891.24
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Grêmio beat Criciúma 1–0. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Grêmio): shots 19–14, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.89–1.24, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Grêmio's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Grêmio's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.95 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match0.95 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots14 shotsCriciúma 19 shots, Grêmio 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsCriciúma 4 shots, Grêmio 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG1.24 xGCriciúma 0.89 xG, Grêmio 1.24 xG
  • Possession46%54%Criciúma 46%, Grêmio 54%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersCriciúma 6 corners, Grêmio 9 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls8 foulsCriciúma 15 fouls, Grêmio 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 6

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma22 matchesGrêmio22 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/220.95 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.12 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots22/2212.2 shots/match
4.95 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.45 shots/match
43%Possession22/22● 47.1%
4.32 corners/matchCorners22/22● 5.27 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls22/2210.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required