PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Criciúma 1–0 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 1–0.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
0.871.11
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat Red Bull Bragantino 1–0. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 13–15, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 0.87–1.11, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Criciúma, Red Bull Bragantino.

3.15 days ▲Rest daysCriciúma · Red Bull Bragantino2.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCriciúmaRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Rest days3.15 days2.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Criciúma's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Criciúma's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.35 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.35 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsCriciúma 13 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsCriciúma 2 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.87 xG1.11 xGCriciúma 0.87 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 1.11 xG
  • Possession49%51%Criciúma 49%, Red Bull Bragantino 51%
  • Corners6 corners8 cornersCriciúma 6 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 8 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls15 foulsCriciúma 17 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma23 matchesRed Bull Bragantino23 matches
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/231.17 goals/match
1.43 goals/matchGoals allowed23/23▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.03 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots23/2313 shots/match
4.83 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/234.48 shots/match
43.3%Possession23/23● 48%
4.39 corners/matchCorners23/23● 5.39 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls23/2314.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Aug 2024, 02:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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