PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Flamengo 2–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–1.

Shots
1312
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.261.06
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Red Bull Bragantino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 13–12, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.26–1.06, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.65 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.65 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots12 shotsFlamengo 13 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsFlamengo 7 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.06 xGFlamengo 1.26 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 1.06 xG
  • Possession56%44%Flamengo 56%, Red Bull Bragantino 44%
  • Corners6 corners10 cornersFlamengo 6 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 10 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls12 foulsFlamengo 13 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Flamengo
1Draws
2Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Flamengo · Serie A1–1
Flamengo — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A1–0
Red Bull Bragantino — Flamengo · Serie A4–0
Flamengo — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A4–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Flamengo · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo23 matchesRed Bull Bragantino22 matches
1.65 goals/match ▲Goals scored23/221.23 goals/match
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/221.27 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/221.02 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots23/2212.9 shots/match
5.65 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/224.41 shots/match
53.7% ●Possession23/2247.9%
6.17 corners/match ●Corners23/225.27 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls23/2214.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 26 Aug 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headFlamengo — Red Bull Bragantino
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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