PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 0–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 0–1.

Shots
219
Shots on target
56
Expected goals
1.360.38
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama beat Vitória 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Vasco da Gama): shots 21–9, shots on target 5–6, expected goals 1.36–0.38, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots9 shotsVitória 21 shots, Vasco da Gama 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots6 shotsVitória 5 shots, Vasco da Gama 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.36 xG0.38 xGVitória 1.36 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.38 xG
  • Possession47%53%Vitória 47%, Vasco da Gama 53%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersVitória 10 corners, Vasco da Gama 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls7 foulsVitória 7 fouls, Vasco da Gama 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
0Draws
1Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Vitória · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória25 matchesVasco da Gama24 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored25/24▲ 1.21 goals/match
1.56 goals/matchGoals allowed25/24▲ 1.42 goals/match
1.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/241 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots25/2411.8 shots/match
4.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/243.88 shots/match
42.8%Possession25/24● 47.7%
4.44 corners/match ●Corners25/244.29 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2413.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Sept 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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