Serie A · 2024

Athletico 0–2 Palmeiras · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 0–2.

Shots
1519
Shots on target
910
Expected goals
0.913.05
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Athletico 2–0. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Palmeiras): shots 15–19, shots on target 9–10, expected goals 0.91–3.05, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.64 corners/matchCornersAthletico · Palmeiras● 7 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAthleticoPalmeirasBaseline
Corners6.64 corners/match7 corners/match5.08 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Athletico have a visible home split

moderate

Athletico's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.3 shots/match15.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots19 shotsAthletico 15 shots, Palmeiras 19 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots10 shotsAthletico 9 shots, Palmeiras 10 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG3.05 xGAthletico 0.91 xG, Palmeiras 3.05 xG
  • Possession47%53%Athletico 47%, Palmeiras 53%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersAthletico 4 corners, Palmeiras 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsAthletico 10 fouls, Palmeiras 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Athletico
1Draws
2Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Athletico · Serie A0–2
Palmeiras — Athletico · Serie A1–0
Athletico — Palmeiras · Serie A2–2
Athletico — Palmeiras · Serie A1–3
Palmeiras — Athletico · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico23 matchesPalmeiras25 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored23/25▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed23/25▲ 0.76 goals/match
1.3 xG/matchExpected goals22/25▲ 1.77 xG/match
15.6 shots/matchShots22/25▲ 18.2 shots/match
5.23 shots/matchShots on target22/25▲ 5.76 shots/match
51.8%Possession22/25● 54.4%
6.64 corners/matchCorners22/25● 7 corners/match
13.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 2 Sept 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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