PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cruzeiro 0–1 São Paulo · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 0–1.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.581.07
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat Cruzeiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – São Paulo): shots 14–14, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.58–1.07, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.31 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsCruzeiro 14 shots, São Paulo 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsCruzeiro 1 shot, São Paulo 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG1.07 xGCruzeiro 0.58 xG, São Paulo 1.07 xG
  • Possession61%39%Cruzeiro 61%, São Paulo 39%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersCruzeiro 7 corners, São Paulo 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsCruzeiro 11 fouls, São Paulo 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cruzeiro
0Draws
2São Paulo
São Paulo — Cruzeiro · Serie A2–0
São Paulo — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–0
Cruzeiro — São Paulo · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro26 matchesSão Paulo26 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored26/261.31 goals/match
1.04 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261 goal/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.13 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots26/2613 shots/match
4.65 shots/matchShots on target26/264.62 shots/match
52.7%Possession26/26● 56.2%
5.42 corners/match ●Corners26/265.23 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 16 Sept 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headCruzeiro — São Paulo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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